Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.531483 1.757530 2.005909 2.299167 2.636099 3.011276 3.461011
2025-06-29 1.177719 1.464541 1.805956 2.242679 2.787146 3.444488 4.299866
2025-07-06 0.909664 1.211807 1.597018 2.124936 2.831138 3.745479 5.023056
2025-07-13 0.787143 1.114640 1.558423 2.205134 3.126374 4.396039 6.286990
2025-07-20 0.697371 1.043054 1.537792 2.299663 3.448122 5.122666 7.764694
2025-07-27 0.621146 0.976170 1.510034 2.374356 3.745958 5.851011 9.351633
2025-08-03 0.549188 0.902900 1.459331 2.402356 3.970917 6.493987 10.897394
2025-08-10 0.471821 0.808381 1.360145 2.335327 4.028961 6.873400 12.063559
2025-08-17 0.399339 0.710725 1.241035 2.215349 3.976450 7.054853 12.908692
2025-08-24 0.353752 0.652619 1.180255 2.185882 4.073695 7.501111 14.279334
2025-08-31 0.313773 0.598752 1.119191 2.145992 4.143606 7.902556 15.617356
2025-09-07 0.298073 0.587687 1.134205 2.249199 4.494835 8.869981 18.179329
2025-09-14 0.272629 0.555753 1.108202 2.274589 4.708516 9.622474 20.472700
2025-09-21 0.244308 0.514256 1.058228 2.245280 4.808502 10.164580 22.422132
2025-09-28 0.212561 0.461303 0.978146 2.142073 4.738743 10.345936 23.625331
2025-10-05 0.201982 0.451910 0.987364 2.231785 5.100236 11.501595 27.191920
2025-10-12 0.193118 0.445008 1.000895 2.332835 5.501867 12.803652 31.309109
2025-10-19 0.183232 0.434375 1.004645 2.411829 5.863788 14.066627 35.538111
2025-10-26 0.170881 0.416248 0.988833 2.442155 6.113441 15.099875 39.364877
2025-11-02 0.153719 0.384198 0.936141 2.375053 6.112575 15.522331 41.692483
2025-11-09 0.135418 0.346842 0.865780 2.253580 5.955352 15.528882 42.917154
2025-11-16 0.124130 0.325750 0.832881 2.223925 6.033710 16.153737 45.932184
2025-11-23 0.113461 0.304842 0.797770 2.183517 6.077408 16.693196 48.797638